Modeling economic systems as locally-constructive sequential games

Real-world economies are open-ended dynamic systems consisting of heterogeneous interacting participants. Human participants are decision-makers who strategically take into account the past actions and potential future actions of other participants. All participants are forced to be locally constructive, meaning their actions at any given time must be based on their local states; and participant actions at any given time affect future local states. Taken together, these essential properties imply real-world economies are locally-constructive sequential games. This paper discusses a modeling approach, Agent-based Computational Economics, that permits researchers to study economic systems from this point of view. ACE modeling principles and objectives are first concisely presented and explained. The remainder of the paper then highlights challenging issues and edgier explorations that ACE researchers are currently pursuing

Agent-Based Computational Modeling And Macroeconomics

Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE) is the computational study of economic processes modeled as dynamic systems of interacting agents. This essay discusses the potential use of ACE modeling tools for the study of macroeconomic systems. Points are illustrated using an ACE model of a two-sector decentralized market economy. Related work can be accessed here: http://www.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/amulmark.htmagent-based computational economics

Auction Basics for Wholesale Power Markets: Objectives and Pricing Rules

Power systems have distinctive features that greatly complicate the development of auction designs. This study reviews the theory and practice of auction design as it relates specifically to U.S. restructured wholesale power markets, i.e., centrally-administered wholesale power markets with congestion managed by locational marginal prices. Basic auction concepts such as reservation value, net seller surplus, net buyer surplus, competitive market clearing, market efficiency, market pricing rules, supply offers, demand bids, strategic capacity withholding, and market power are explained and illustrated. Complicating factors specific to wholesale power markets are clarified, and recent advances in computational tools designed to address these complications are briefly noted.market power; Auction markets; power systems; design; efficency; pricing rules; agent-based test beds

A Trade Network Game with Endogenous Partner Selection

This paper develops an evolutionary trade network game (TNG) that combines evolutionary game play with endogenous partner selection. Successive generations of resource-constrained buyers and sellers choose and refuse trade partners on the basis of continually updated expected payoffs. Trade partner selection takes place in accordance with a modified Gale-Shapley matching mechanism, and trades are implemented using trade strategies evolved via a standardly specified genetic algorithm. The trade partnerships resulting from the matching mechanism are shown to be core stable and Pareto optimal in each successive trade cycle. Nevertheless, computer experiments suggest that these static optimality properties may be inadequate measures of optimality from an evolutionary perspective. Related work can be accessed at: http://www.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/tnghome.htmTrade network formation; evolutionary game; endogenous partner selection; iterated prisoner's dilemma; Gale-Shapley matching

Automatic Evaluation of Higher-Order Partial Derivatives for Nonlocal Sensitivity Analysis

This proceedings paper surveys work on the FEED (Fast Efficient Evaluation of Derivatives) algorithm originally developed by Kalaba, Tesfatsion, and Wang (1983), with particular reference to the use of FEED for the implementation of nonlocal automated sensitivity techniques; see the articles below. The relationship of FEED to the automatic differentiation algorithms developed by other SIAM Workshop participants is clarified. Related work can be accessed here: http://www.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/nasahome.htmAutomatic evaluation; higher-order partial derivatives; FEED; automated sensitivity analysis

Hysteresis in an Evolutionary Labor Market with Adaptive Search

This study undertakes a systematic experimental investigation of hysteresis (path dependency) in an agent-based computational labor market framework. It is shown that capacity asymmetries between work suppliers and employers can result in two distinct hysteresis effects, network and behavioral, when work suppliers and employers interact strategically and evolve their worksite behaviors over time. These hysteresis effects result in persistent heterogeneity in earnings and employment histories across agents who have no observable structural differences. At a more global level, these hysteresis effects are shown to result in a one-to-many mapping between treatment factors and experimental outcomes. These hysteresis effects may help to explain why excess earnings heterogeneity is commonly observed in real-world labor markets.Dynamic labor market, Hysteresis (path dependency), Networks, Endogenous Interactions, Agent-based computational economics, Evolutionary game.

Agent-Based Computational Economics: A Brief Guide to the Literature

Agent-based computational economics (ACE)is the computational study of economies modelled as evolving systems of autonomous interacting agents. This short paper is a brief guide to recent ACE research. For more information, visit the ACE Web site at http://www.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/ace.htm. Resources available at the ACE Web site include surveys, an annotated syllabus of readings, software, teaching materials, pointers to research on economic and social network formation, and pointers to individual researchers and research groups.Agent-based computational economics

Agent-Based Computational Economics: A Constructive Approach to Economic Theory

This chapter explores the potential advantages and disadvantages of Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE) for the study of economic systems. General points are concretely illustrated using an ACE model of a two-sector decentralized market economy. Six issues are highlighted: Constructive understanding of production, pricing, and trade processes; the essential primacy of survival; strategic rivalry and market power; behavioral uncertainty and learning; the role of conventions and organizations; and the complex interactions among structural attributes, behaviors, and institutional arrangements. Extensive annotated pointers to ACE surveys, research, course materials, and software can be accessed here: http://www.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/ace.htmagent-based computational economics; Learning; network formation; decentralized market economy

Hysteresis in an Evolutionary Labor Market with Adaptive Search

This study undertakes a systematic experimental investigation of hysteresis (path dependency) in an agent-based computational labor market framework. It is shown that capacity asymmetries between work suppliers and employers can result in two distinct hysteresis effects, network and behavioral, when work suppliers and employers interact strategically and evolve their worksite behaviors over time. These hysteresis effects result in persistent heterogeneity in earnings and employment histories across agents who have no observable structural differences. At a more global level, these hysteresis effects are shown to result in a one-to-many mapping between treatment factors and experimental outcomes. These hysteresis effects may help to explain why excess earnings heterogeneity is commonly observed in real-world labor markets. Related work can be accessed at: http://www.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/tnghome.htmLabor markets; Agent-based test bed; path dependence (hysteresis); network formation; strategy evolution

Agent-Based Computational Economics

Agent-based computational economics (ACE) is the computational study of economies modeled as evolving systems of autonomous interacting agents. Starting from initial conditions, specified by the modeler, the computational economy evolves over time as its constituent agents repeatedly interact with each other and learn from these interactions. ACE is therefore a bottom-up culture-dish approach to the study of economic systems. This study discusses the key characteristics and goals of the ACE methodology. Eight currently active research areas are highlighted for concrete illustration. Potential advantages and disadvantages of the ACE methodology are considered, along with open questions and possible directions for future research.Agent-based computational economics; Autonomous agents; Interaction networks; Learning; Evolution; Mechanism design; Computational economics; Object-oriented programming.